Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009967 0.011918 0.014317 0.017538 0.021847 0.027553 0.035942
2025-05-04 0.007475 0.009695 0.012769 0.017530 0.025114 0.037556 0.061716
2025-05-11 0.006154 0.008398 0.011753 0.017481 0.027869 0.048162 0.099257
2025-05-18 0.005205 0.007355 0.010747 0.016966 0.029436 0.057626 0.148489
2025-05-25 0.004449 0.006443 0.009711 0.016025 0.029696 0.064530 0.205463
2025-06-01 0.003915 0.005788 0.008960 0.015375 0.030271 0.072851 0.293061
2025-06-08 0.003631 0.005495 0.008773 0.015772 0.033473 0.092250 0.533426
2025-06-15 0.003323 0.005116 0.008358 0.015568 0.035070 0.108516 0.910829
2025-06-22 0.002987 0.004645 0.007697 0.014658 0.034308 0.114827 1.297087
2025-06-29 0.002806 0.004432 0.007500 0.014777 0.036740 0.140219 2.919065
2025-07-06 0.002690 0.004323 0.007495 0.015357 0.041057 0.185936 12.465322
2025-07-13 0.002633 0.004315 0.007692 0.016514 0.048333 0.277542 1874.705725
2025-07-20 0.002514 0.004193 0.007667 0.017200 0.055053 0.412784 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002354 0.003977 0.007408 0.017172 0.058933 0.558963 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002213 0.003782 0.007165 0.017124 0.062883 0.771034 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002062 0.003552 0.006809 0.016624 0.064086 0.965093 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001906 0.003296 0.006359 0.015708 0.062233 1.061632 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001779 0.003094 0.006015 0.015076 0.061807 1.245672 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001716 0.003018 0.005972 0.015462 0.068646 2.156775 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001631 0.002889 0.005776 0.015264 0.071333 3.147428 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001523 0.002701 0.005415 0.014378 0.068034 3.285092 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001467 0.002623 0.005326 0.014493 0.073141 6.011850 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001433 0.002591 0.005351 0.015058 0.083279 19.380621 NaN